Thursday, April 23, 2026

Probably Not

 Imagine you were caught in an other dimensional "limbo" where you could not die and were trapped for eternity, unless you satisfied a single odd condition. In your hand was a single dice, and somehow you knew that if you rolled that dice and landed on the number "5" in sequence one million times, you would be set free. Given those circumstances, would you ever leave that place?


According to the conventional logic presented to us in many science classes and media these days, the assumption we are fed is that any event which can be reduced to a probability, regardless of how remote, when multiplied by an infinite amount of time and chances, will surely occur. But given the above example, even a child's intuition will tell them that they will probably never leave that eternal "limbo".

Why should that be the case? And why, furthermore, should we abandon our basic intuition out of intimidation for a value like "infinity"? Of course, even scientists don't have "infinity" to work with when dealing with questions concerning the origin of all things. But in debates concerning these matters we are always obliged to relenquish that as a given, and so we will do just that.

Part of the assumption that is erroniously made is that for every failed attempt at the sequence of rolls, the chances for a favorable result are now somehow "better" than they were before. Randomness however is not so discriminating a force, and the truth is, the probability for a successful series of rolls is the same after every single failed attempt. In this case, that would be about one out of 6... To the millionth power. So sadly, as you sat there for eternity, every new roll would leave you with those same long odds... Even if you already tried multiplied trillions of times before.

My algebra teacher in junior high once related how he and a group of friends travelled to Vegas thinking that they would make a killing with their new found understanding of probabilities. Sadly, like much of the scientific community, they were duped into thinking that multiplying a probability by time and chance would lead to an inevitable result. Of course as the story went, they went home broke.

Even among scientists though, intuition prevails when it doesn't beg the question of God and our origins. For years, the Search for Extra Terrestrial Intelligence (SETI) has combed the heavens for any sign of non random radio signals. It is assumed, correctly I might add, that any statistically non-random signals evoke "order" and potentially "Intelligence". With the exception of those signals generated by pulsating stars and galaxies, up until now all that has been seen is "noise". Funny though, how we can seek signs of "order" among random electromagnetic waves scattered through our universe, and see the DNA of our own cells and reduce it to the product of "randomness".

It really is tragic how some of the most God-gifted minds in the world could be so dim to what even children can so easily understand. We really shouldn't have to invoke the principles of thermodynamics, entropy, and dynamic equilibrium to know that you just don't find Mona Lisa's lying around randomly formed. While randomness can produce temporal bits of order, like 7 or even 8 "5's" in a row on the dice, you can be sure that disorder will once again prevail.

That is, unless of course those "5's" are being intentionally placed in a sequence for you. The marks of "Intelligence" are not that difficult to discern, and if you heed the warning of Paul to Timothy so long ago, you will do well. "O Timothy, keep that which is committed to thy trust, avoid profane and vain babblings, and oppositions of science falsely so called: Which some professing have erred concerning the faith. Grace be with thee. Amen.". -1 Timothy 6:21